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2024-12-13 12:02:54

CEO of Wells Fargo: The situation of low-end consumers is even more difficult. Consumer credit is still very strong.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.


The UN Secretary-General visited South Africa and called on the G20 to reform global financial institutions. On December 11th, local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres visited South Africa and attended the first meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Johannesburg after South Africa assumed the rotating presidency of G20. Guterres called on the G20 to achieve financial justice, reform global financial institutions and expand the global safety net. He also expressed support for South Africa as the rotating presidency of G20. In the afternoon, Guterres met with South African Foreign Minister Lamora in the South African Foreign Ministry Building. The two sides discussed the priorities of the G20 presidency, promoted the implementation of future agreements, and ensured the accelerated realization of sustainable development and climate commitments. (CCTV News)German Foreign Ministry spokesperson: I hope to provide consular assistance to German citizens arrested in Russia, but I don't have much hope.The spot gold price once again stood at the $2,700 mark in the day.


Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 0.4%, and S&P 500 index futures rose 0.3%.

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